Facts. Probabilities. Your call.
Portugal vs 
WalesAmerica/New_York
The top three selections in the published ranking.
International UEFA Nations League
Israel 
Liga Leumit
Canada 
Canadian Premier League
Selections ordered by kick-off.
Both teams to score — No
International Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Every published probability selection since Sep 22, 2026, at a flat stake of one unit. Results settle the selections; closing odds measure the price comparison.
Nothing is bet on your behalf. The record lists every published probability selection at the published odds, one unit each, wins and losses alike. Past results do not guarantee future ones.
Closing odds come from an available snapshot within two hours before kickoff. A dash means no measurement is available.
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Closing odds | CLV | Result | Units | Units after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran U23 – Korea DPR U23Asian Games | Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 | 1.59 | 1.60 | -0.6% | Lost | -1.00 u | -6.21 u | |
| Iran U23 – Korea DPR U23Asian Games | Home win1X2 | 1.93 | 1.72 | +12.2% | Lost | -1.00 u | -5.21 u | |
| Santa Fe – Deportivo CaliPrimera A | Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 | 1.53 | 1.57 | -2.6% | Won | +0.53 u | -4.21 u | |
| Santa Fe – Deportivo CaliPrimera A | Both teams to score — NoBTTS — No | 1.71 | 1.75 | -2.3% | Won | +0.71 u | -4.74 u | |
| Santa Fe – Deportivo CaliPrimera A | Home win1X2 | 2.08 | 2.08 | 0% | Lost | -1.00 u | -5.45 u | |
| Independiente Medellin – JaguaresPrimera A | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.62 | 1.55 | +4.5% | Won | +0.62 u | -4.45 u | |
| Independiente Medellin – JaguaresPrimera A | Both teams to score — NoBTTS — No | 1.76 | 1.77 | -0.6% | Lost | -1.00 u | -5.07 u | |
| Real Santander – OrsomarsoPrimera B | Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 | 1.63 | 1.63 | 0% | Won | +0.63 u | -4.07 u | |
| Queen of the South – Annan AthleticChallenge Cup | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.61 | 1.61 | 0% | Lost | -1.00 u | -4.70 u | |
| Forfar Athletic – PeterheadChallenge Cup | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.60 | 1.57 | +1.9% | Lost | -1.00 u | -3.70 u | |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic – Airdrie UnitedChallenge Cup | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.51 | 1.51 | 0% | Won | +0.51 u | -2.70 u | |
| Edinburgh City – Dundee United IIChallenge Cup | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.60 | 1.63 | -1.8% | Lost | -1.00 u | -3.21 u | |
| Forfar Athletic – PeterheadChallenge Cup | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | +2.6% | Lost | -1.00 u | -2.21 u | |
| Queen of the South – Annan AthleticChallenge Cup | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.54 | 1.53 | +0.7% | Won | +0.54 u | -1.21 u | |
| East Kilbride – Celtic IIChallenge Cup | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.59 | 1.42 | +12% | Won | +0.59 u | -1.75 u | |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic – Airdrie UnitedChallenge Cup | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.51 | 1.50 | +0.7% | Won | +0.51 u | -2.34 u | |
| Fraserburgh – Cove RangersChallenge Cup | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.56 | 1.52 | +2.6% | Lost | -1.00 u | -2.85 u | |
| Berwick Rangers – StranraerChallenge Cup | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.50 | 1.46 | +2.7% | Won | +0.50 u | -1.85 u | |
| Clachnacuddin – Ross CountyChallenge Cup | Both teams to score — NoBTTS — No | 1.80 | 1.69 | +6.5% | Lost | -1.00 u | -2.35 u | |
| Banks O' Dee – Aberdeen U21Challenge Cup | Away win1X2 | 1.80 | 1.64 | +9.8% | Lost | -1.00 u | -1.35 u | |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic – Airdrie UnitedChallenge Cup | Away win1X2 | 1.76 | 1.81 | -2.8% | Won | +0.76 u | -0.35 u | |
| Forfar Athletic – PeterheadChallenge Cup | Away win1X2 | 1.75 | 1.85 | -5.4% | Won | +0.75 u | -1.11 u | |
| Formartine United – MontroseChallenge Cup | Away win1X2 | 1.57 | 1.70 | -7.7% | Lost | -1.00 u | -1.86 u | |
| Berwick Rangers – StranraerChallenge Cup | Away win1X2 | 1.50 | 1.59 | -5.7% | Lost | -1.00 u | -0.86 u | |
| Walsall – StevenageEFL Trophy | Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 | 1.69 | 1.72 | -1.7% | Lost | -1.00 u | +0.14 u | |
| Tranmere – ShrewsburyEFL Trophy | Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 | 1.68 | 1.72 | -2.3% | Won | +0.68 u | +1.14 u | |
| Oldham – Fleetwood TownEFL Trophy | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.71 | 1.62 | +5.6% | Lost | -1.00 u | +0.46 u | |
| Notts County – GrimsbyEFL Trophy | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.69 | 1.60 | +5.6% | Won | +0.69 u | +1.46 u | |
| Peterborough – ColchesterEFL Trophy | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.63 | 1.47 | +10.9% | Won | +0.63 u | +0.77 u | |
| Wigan – BlackpoolEFL Trophy | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.62 | 1.46 | +11% | Won | +0.62 u | +0.14 u | |
| Salford City – Sheffield WednesdayEFL Trophy | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.60 | 1.56 | +2.6% | Won | +0.60 u | -0.48 u | |
| Rijnvogels – VvsbKNVB Beker | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.52 | 1.46 | +4.1% | Lost | -1.00 u | -1.08 u | |
| Staphorst – SC GenemuidenKNVB Beker | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.56 | 1.56 | 0% | Won | +0.56 u | -0.08 u | |
| Barnsley – Leeds United U21EFL Trophy | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.54 | 1.55 | -0.7% | Won | +0.54 u | -0.64 u | |
| Oldham – Fleetwood TownEFL Trophy | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.56 | 1.53 | +2% | Lost | -1.00 u | -1.18 u | |
| Notts County – GrimsbyEFL Trophy | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.58 | 1.50 | +5.3% | Won | +0.58 u | -0.18 u | |
| ACV – HoogeveenKNVB Beker | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.60 | 1.53 | +4.6% | Won | +0.60 u | -0.76 u | |
| Salford City – Sheffield WednesdayEFL Trophy | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.50 | 1.48 | +1.4% | Won | +0.50 u | -1.36 u | |
| Plymouth – Crystal Palace U21EFL Trophy | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.53 | 1.52 | +0.7% | Won | +0.53 u | -1.86 u | |
| HHC – BarendrechtKNVB Beker | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.55 | 1.52 | +2% | Lost | -1.00 u | -2.39 u | |
| Peterborough – ColchesterEFL Trophy | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.55 | 1.46 | +6.2% | Won | +0.55 u | -1.39 u | |
| Wigan – BlackpoolEFL Trophy | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.51 | 1.41 | +7.1% | Won | +0.51 u | -1.94 u | |
| Staphorst – SC GenemuidenKNVB Beker | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.53 | 1.52 | +0.7% | Won | +0.53 u | -2.45 u | |
| Leicester – Fulham U21EFL Trophy | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | +2% | Won | +0.53 u | -2.98 u | |
| Peterborough – ColchesterEFL Trophy | Home win1X2 | 1.93 | 1.86 | +3.8% | Won | +0.93 u | -3.51 u | |
| Staphorst – SC GenemuidenKNVB Beker | Away win1X2 | 1.78 | 1.86 | -4.3% | Won | +0.78 u | -4.44 u | |
| EVV – HalsterenKNVB Beker | Home win1X2 | 1.69 | 1.80 | -6.1% | Won | +0.69 u | -5.22 u | |
| Swindon Town – Newport CountyEFL Trophy | Home win1X2 | 1.73 | 1.74 | -0.6% | Lost | -1.00 u | -5.91 u | |
| Milton Keynes Dons – Crawley TownEFL Trophy | Home win1X2 | 1.65 | 1.31 | +26% | Won | +0.65 u | -4.91 u | |
| HHC – BarendrechtKNVB Beker | Home win1X2 | 1.56 | 1.54 | +1.3% | Lost | -1.00 u | -5.56 u | |
| Groene Ster – AFC AmsterdamKNVB Beker | Away win1X2 | 1.55 | 1.59 | -2.5% | Won | +0.55 u | -4.56 u | |
| Academico Viseu U23 – Estoril U23Liga Revelação U23 | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.58 | 1.57 | +0.6% | Lost | -1.00 u | -5.11 u | |
| Al Urooba – Dubai CityPresidents Cup | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.61 | 1.63 | -1.2% | Lost | -1.00 u | -4.11 u | |
| Santa Clara U23 – Portimonense U23Liga Revelação U23 | Home win1X2 | 1.60 | 1.67 | -4.2% | Lost | -1.00 u | -3.11 u | |
| Korea Republic U23 – Saudi Arabia U23Asian Games | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.67 | 1.69 | -1.2% | Lost | -1.00 u | -2.11 u | |
| Vietnam U23 – Uzbekistan U23Asian Games | Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 | 1.65 | 1.57 | +5.1% | Won | +0.65 u | -1.11 u | |
| Philippines U23 – Kuwait U23Asian Games | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.57 | 1.59 | -1.3% | Won | +0.57 u | -1.76 u | |
| Philippines U23 – Kuwait U23Asian Games | Away win1X2 | 1.59 | 1.50 | +6% | Lost | -1.00 u | -2.33 u | |
| Vietnam U23 – Uzbekistan U23Asian Games | Away win1X2 | 1.59 | 1.64 | -3.1% | Won | +0.59 u | -1.33 u | |
| Santos Laguna W – Cruz Azul WLiga MX Femenil | Away win1X2 | 1.79 | 1.78 | +0.6% | Lost | -1.00 u | -1.92 u | |
| Arnett Gardens – DunbeholdenPremier League | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.63 | 1.53 | +6.5% | Won | +0.63 u | -0.92 u | |
| Real Cartagena – EnvigadoPrimera B | Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 | 1.68 | 1.71 | -1.8% | Won | +0.68 u | -1.55 u | |
| Cuiaba – Nautico RecifeSerie B | Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 | 1.59 | 1.58 | +0.6% | Lost | -1.00 u | -2.23 u | |
| Cuiaba – Nautico RecifeSerie B | Both teams to score — NoBTTS — No | 1.77 | 1.76 | +0.6% | Won | +0.77 u | -1.23 u | |
| Real Cartagena – EnvigadoPrimera B | Home win1X2 | 1.69 | 1.66 | +1.8% | Lost | -1.00 u | -2.00 u | |
| Lanus – Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina | Both teams to score — NoBTTS — No | 1.58 | 1.58 | 0% | Lost | -1.00 u | -1.00 u |
Compare the numbers. Open the detail. Keep a selection in view.
61 selectionsMatch times: America/New_York
| Match | Pick | Model probability | Odds | Selection actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Andorra MaltaInternational UEFA Nations League | Both teams to score — No60.9%Model estimate | 60.9%Model estimate | 1.521xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Hapoel Acre Hapoel AfulaIsrael Liga Leumit | Over 2.5 goals59.9%Model estimate | 59.9%Model estimate | 1.561xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Kosovo Rep. Of IrelandInternational UEFA Nations League | Under 2.5 goals59.4%Model estimate | 59.4%Model estimate | 1.651xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Alianza Fuerte San FranciscoEl Salvador  Primera Division | Home win59.3%Model estimate | 59.3%Model estimate | 1.501xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Vancouver FC York UnitedCanada Canadian Premier League | Over 2.5 goals59%Model estimate | 59%Model estimate | 1.531xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Ivory Coast GhanaInternational Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | Both teams to score — No58.9%Model estimate | 58.9%Model estimate | 1.621xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Libya BotswanaInternational Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | Both teams to score — No58.9%Model estimate | 58.9%Model estimate | 1.531xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Japan UruguayInternational Friendlies | Under 2.5 goals58.6%Model estimate | 58.6%Model estimate | 1.701xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 South Korea EcuadorInternational Friendlies | Under 2.5 goals58.1%Model estimate | 58.1%Model estimate | 1.671xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| Ivory CoastGhana International Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | Home win57.7%Model estimate | 57.7%Model estimate | 1.591xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Ironi Modi'in AshdodIsrael Liga Leumit | Both teams to score57.6%Model estimate | 57.6%Model estimate | 1.721xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Mauritania Central African RepublicInternational Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | Both teams to score — No57.6%Model estimate | 57.6%Model estimate | 1.541xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| Ivory CoastGhana International Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | Under 2.5 goals57.5%Model estimate | 57.5%Model estimate | 1.621xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Hapoel Rishon LeZion Maccabi Ahi NazarethIsrael Liga Leumit | Over 2.5 goals57%Model estimate | 57%Model estimate | 1.621xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 America de Cali Águilas DoradasColombia  Primera A | Home win56.5%Model estimate | 56.5%Model estimate | 1.651xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| Hapoel Rishon LeZionMaccabi Ahi Nazareth Israel Liga Leumit | Home win56.3%Model estimate | 56.3%Model estimate | 1.591xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Firpo CacahuatiqueEl Salvador Primera Division | Home win56%Model estimate | 56%Model estimate | 1.591xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| Ironi Modi'inAshdod Israel Liga Leumit | Over 2.5 goals55.9%Model estimate | 55.9%Model estimate | 1.701xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Norway DenmarkInternational UEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 goals55.8%Model estimate | 55.8%Model estimate | 1.751xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Liechtenstein LithuaniaInternational UEFA Nations League | Under 2.5 goals55.8%Model estimate | 55.8%Model estimate | 1.751xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Austria IsraelInternational UEFA Nations League | Both teams to score55.7%Model estimate | 55.7%Model estimate | 1.681xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| NorwayDenmark International UEFA Nations League | Both teams to score55.7%Model estimate | 55.7%Model estimate | 1.661xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Sierra Leone ZimbabweInternational Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | Both teams to score — No55.7%Model estimate | 55.7%Model estimate | 1.651xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| PortugalWales International UEFA Nations League | Both teams to score — No55.7%Model estimate | 55.7%Model estimate | 1.641xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| Hapoel Rishon LeZionMaccabi Ahi Nazareth Israel Liga Leumit | Both teams to score55.7%Model estimate | 55.7%Model estimate | 1.641xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Tunisia UgandaInternational Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | Both teams to score — No55.7%Model estimate | 55.7%Model estimate | 1.601xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Maccabi Herzliya Kiryat Yam SCIsrael Liga Leumit | Both teams to score55.7%Model estimate | 55.7%Model estimate | 1.591xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Serbia GreeceInternational UEFA Nations League | Under 2.5 goals55.5%Model estimate | 55.5%Model estimate | 1.751xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| LibyaBotswana International Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | Home win55%Model estimate | 55%Model estimate | 1.711xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| NorwayDenmark International UEFA Nations League | Home win54.9%Model estimate | 54.9%Model estimate | 1.751xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| Ironi Modi'inAshdod Israel Liga Leumit | Away win54.4%Model estimate | 54.4%Model estimate | 1.571xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Congo DR Equatorial GuineaInternational Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | Under 2.5 goals54.2%Model estimate | 54.2%Model estimate | 1.741xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| America de CaliÁguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A | Under 2.5 goals53.9%Model estimate | 53.9%Model estimate | 1.731xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| KosovoRep. Of Ireland International UEFA Nations League | Both teams to score — No53.6%Model estimate | 53.6%Model estimate | 1.801xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| JapanUruguay International Friendlies | Both teams to score — No53.6%Model estimate | 53.6%Model estimate | 1.781xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| America de CaliÁguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A | Both teams to score — No53.6%Model estimate | 53.6%Model estimate | 1.761xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Caen RouenFrance  Ligue 3 | Both teams to score53.6%Model estimate | 53.6%Model estimate | 1.651xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Cameroon ComorosInternational Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | Under 2.5 goals53.6%Model estimate | 53.6%Model estimate | 1.781xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| TunisiaUganda International Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | Under 2.5 goals53.4%Model estimate | 53.4%Model estimate | 1.701xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| Maccabi HerzliyaKiryat Yam SC Israel Liga Leumit | Over 2.5 goals53%Model estimate | 53%Model estimate | 1.731xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| MauritaniaCentral African Republic International Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | Home win52.8%Model estimate | 52.8%Model estimate | 1.681xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| AlianzaFuerte San Francisco El Salvador Primera Division | Under 2.5 goals52.6%Model estimate | 52.6%Model estimate | 1.801xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Xelajú Antigua GFCGuatemala  Liga Nacional | Under 2.5 goals52.1%Model estimate | 52.1%Model estimate | 1.781xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| South KoreaEcuador International Friendlies | Both teams to score — No51.5%Model estimate | 51.5%Model estimate | 1.791xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| Hapoel AcreHapoel Afula Israel Liga Leumit | Away win50.6%Model estimate | 50.6%Model estimate | 1.681xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| CaenRouen France Ligue 3 | Over 2.5 goals50.3%Model estimate | 50.3%Model estimate | 1.841xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| FirpoCacahuatique El Salvador Primera Division | Under 2.5 goals50%Model estimate | 50%Model estimate | 1.811xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| SerbiaGreece International UEFA Nations League | Both teams to score50%Model estimate | 50%Model estimate | 1.751xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| Vancouver FCYork United Canada Canadian Premier League | Home win49.4%Model estimate | 49.4%Model estimate | 1.761xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| JapanUruguay International Friendlies | Home win45.2%Model estimate | 45.2%Model estimate | 2.121xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| XelajúAntigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional | Home win44.3%Model estimate | 44.3%Model estimate | 1.971xbetBet at 1xBet | |
 Netherlands GermanyInternational UEFA Nations League | Home win39.8%Model estimate | 39.8%Model estimate | 2.431xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| Sierra LeoneZimbabwe International Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | Home win39.4%Model estimate | 39.4%Model estimate | 2.351xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| KosovoRep. Of Ireland International UEFA Nations League | Home win39.2%Model estimate | 39.2%Model estimate | 2.481xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| AndorraMalta International UEFA Nations League | Away win39.1%Model estimate | 39.1%Model estimate | 2.481xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| South KoreaEcuador International Friendlies | Home win38.1%Model estimate | 38.1%Model estimate | 2.541xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| Maccabi HerzliyaKiryat Yam SC Israel Liga Leumit | Home win37.1%Model estimate | 37.1%Model estimate | 2.501xbetBet at 1xBet | |
| SerbiaGreece International UEFA Nations League | Home win36.4%Model estimate | 36.4%Model estimate | 2.691xbetBet at 1xBet | |
The first 3 selections are featured in the podium above.
The basics of markets, prices and probability.
Both teams to score means each team must score at least one goal in the specified period. The match winner does not matter.
Probability and price answer different questions. A likely outcome can still be poorly priced. Estimated value compares the price with a reference probability; it is not a promise of profit.
Over 2.5 requires at least three goals in total in the specified period. Two goals or fewer is Under 2.5. Check the market period and bookmaker settlement rules.
Review settled picks and the published performance record.
See how reference odds, probability and value shape a selection. Results stay accessible, whatever the outcome.