Every published probability selection since Sep 22, 2026, at a flat stake of one unit. Results settle the selections; closing odds measure the price comparison.
Won selections among settled ones, voids excluded. Read it with the ROI: at short odds a high hit rate can still lose units.
ROI
-9.4%
Avg. CLV +1.8%
Max drawdown -7.67 u · average CLV +1.8%. ROI and CLV are read alongside the sample size; a short record proves little either way.
Nothing is bet on your behalf. The record lists every published probability selection at the published odds, one unit each, wins and losses alike. Past results do not guarantee future ones.
Show the 66 settled picks
Closing odds come from an available snapshot within two hours before kickoff. A dash means no measurement is available.
All settled probability selections · kickoff dates in UTC
Date
Match
Pick
Odds
Closing odds
CLV
Result
Units
Units after
Iran U23 – Korea DPR U23Asian Games
Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
1.59
1.60
-0.6%
Lost
-1.00 u
-6.21 u
Iran U23 – Korea DPR U23Asian Games
Home win1X2
1.93
1.72
+12.2%
Lost
-1.00 u
-5.21 u
Santa Fe – Deportivo CaliPrimera A
Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
1.53
1.57
-2.6%
Won
+0.53 u
-4.21 u
Santa Fe – Deportivo CaliPrimera A
Both teams to score — NoBTTS — No
1.71
1.75
-2.3%
Won
+0.71 u
-4.74 u
Santa Fe – Deportivo CaliPrimera A
Home win1X2
2.08
2.08
0%
Lost
-1.00 u
-5.45 u
Independiente Medellin – JaguaresPrimera A
Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
1.62
1.55
+4.5%
Won
+0.62 u
-4.45 u
Independiente Medellin – JaguaresPrimera A
Both teams to score — NoBTTS — No
1.76
1.77
-0.6%
Lost
-1.00 u
-5.07 u
Real Santander – OrsomarsoPrimera B
Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
1.63
1.63
0%
Won
+0.63 u
-4.07 u
Queen of the South – Annan AthleticChallenge Cup
Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
1.61
1.61
0%
Lost
-1.00 u
-4.70 u
Forfar Athletic – PeterheadChallenge Cup
Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
1.60
1.57
+1.9%
Lost
-1.00 u
-3.70 u
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic – Airdrie UnitedChallenge Cup
Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
1.51
1.51
0%
Won
+0.51 u
-2.70 u
Edinburgh City – Dundee United IIChallenge Cup
Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes
1.60
1.63
-1.8%
Lost
-1.00 u
-3.21 u
Forfar Athletic – PeterheadChallenge Cup
Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes
1.57
1.53
+2.6%
Lost
-1.00 u
-2.21 u
Queen of the South – Annan AthleticChallenge Cup
Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes
1.54
1.53
+0.7%
Won
+0.54 u
-1.21 u
East Kilbride – Celtic IIChallenge Cup
Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes
1.59
1.42
+12%
Won
+0.59 u
-1.75 u
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic – Airdrie UnitedChallenge Cup
Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes
1.51
1.50
+0.7%
Won
+0.51 u
-2.34 u
Fraserburgh – Cove RangersChallenge Cup
Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes
1.56
1.52
+2.6%
Lost
-1.00 u
-2.85 u
Berwick Rangers – StranraerChallenge Cup
Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes
1.50
1.46
+2.7%
Won
+0.50 u
-1.85 u
Clachnacuddin – Ross CountyChallenge Cup
Both teams to score — NoBTTS — No
1.80
1.69
+6.5%
Lost
-1.00 u
-2.35 u
Banks O' Dee – Aberdeen U21Challenge Cup
Away win1X2
1.80
1.64
+9.8%
Lost
-1.00 u
-1.35 u
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic – Airdrie UnitedChallenge Cup
Both teams to score means each team must score at least one goal in the specified period. The match winner does not matter.
A likely outcome. A good price?+
Probability and price answer different questions. A likely outcome can still be poorly priced. Estimated value compares the price with a reference probability; it is not a promise of profit.
Over 2.5: count the goals.+
Over 2.5 requires at least three goals in total in the specified period. Two goals or fewer is Under 2.5. Check the market period and bookmaker settlement rules.
Our picks. Their results.
Review settled picks and the published performance record.