Under 2.5 goals: count both sides of the score
Keeping the opposition scoreless is compatible with either side of the 2.5 boundary: a 2-0 fits under, whereas a 3-0 does not. Under 2.5 accepts zero, one or two combined goals in the specified period, including a 1-1 draw with BTTS Yes.
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13 selectionsMatch times: America/New_York
Filter by displayed reference odds. Top picks keep their published order.
Top 3 selections
- Gold
Italy
Serie C - Girone C
Sorrento
SS MonopoliPickUnder 2.5 goals61.2%Model estimate1.50Reference odds · check at bookmakerWhy this pick?
- Estimated probability: 61.2%, calculated from 2 reference markets with margin removed.
- Recorded odds: 1.50; estimated value: -8.1%.
- Odds observed: 2026-11-15 06:55 UTC.
- Selections are ranked by probability; this does not imply a positive return.
- Silver
International Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Namibia
CameroonPickUnder 2.5 goals60.4%Model estimate1.55Reference odds · check at bookmakerWhy this pick?
- Estimated probability: 60.4%, calculated from 2 reference markets with margin removed.
- Recorded odds: 1.55; estimated value: -6.4%.
- Odds observed: 2026-11-15 06:54 UTC.
- Selections are ranked by probability; this does not imply a positive return.
- Bronze
International UEFA Nations League
Faroe Islands
MoldovaPickUnder 2.5 goals57.4%Model estimate1.69Reference odds · check at bookmakerWhy this pick?
- Estimated probability: 57.4%, calculated from 2 reference markets with margin removed.
- Recorded odds: 1.69; estimated value: -3.0%.
- Odds observed: 2026-11-15 06:53 UTC.
- Selections are ranked by probability; this does not imply a positive return.
| Match | Pick | Model probability | Odds | Selection actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Quindio Real Cartagena | Under 2.5 goals57.3%Model estimate | 57.3%Model estimate | 1.62 | |
 Gibraltar Malta | Under 2.5 goals57%Model estimate | 57%Model estimate | 1.69 | |
 FYR Macedonia Slovenia | Under 2.5 goals56.7%Model estimate | 56.7%Model estimate | 1.71 | |
 Central African Republic Benin | Under 2.5 goals55.5%Model estimate | 55.5%Model estimate | 1.70 | |
 Sudan Senegal | Under 2.5 goals55%Model estimate | 55%Model estimate | 1.73 | |
 Switzerland Scotland | Under 2.5 goals54.6%Model estimate | 54.6%Model estimate | 1.77 | |
 Wanderers Juventud | Under 2.5 goals52.8%Model estimate | 52.8%Model estimate | 1.74 | |
 New Mexico United Sacramento Republic | Under 2.5 goals52.4%Model estimate | 52.4%Model estimate | 1.76 | |
 Eritrea Guinea | Under 2.5 goals51.5%Model estimate | 51.5%Model estimate | 1.82 | |
 UCV Moquegua Atletico Grau | Under 2.5 goals51.4%Model estimate | 51.4%Model estimate | 1.83 | |
When does Under 2.5 win?
Under 2.5 requires no more than two goals in regular time, including stoppage time. 0–0, 1–0 and 1–1 qualify; 2–1 does not. Because the line is a half-goal, a completed match cannot land exactly on it.
How to read these picks
Keeping the opposition scoreless is compatible with either side of the 2.5 boundary: a 2-0 fits under, whereas a 3-0 does not. Under 2.5 accepts zero, one or two combined goals in the specified period, including a 1-1 draw with BTTS Yes. A third goal removes the score from that set. Check the combined tally rather than treating a clean sheet, a draw or a winner as proof of the total. Its probability estimates this scoring condition without guaranteeing what the match will produce. A high probability by itself does not establish better value.
Probability describes how likely an outcome is. Odds determine the payout. Compare both, then check the settled record below; a high hit rate alone does not prove a profitable method.
Methodology →Under 2.5: model results
Published probability-v2 selections in this market, at a flat reference stake of one unit.
Record temporarily unavailable.