Even a short price needs comparison with the estimate for its precise condition. Decimal odds of 1.25 illustrate a raw implied probability of 80% through the reciprocal, before a margin adjustment and without an associated fixture. The engine estimates probabilities by adjusting the margin across the market's reference prices; it does not subtract a margin from the decimal number. The recorded reference identifies the publication's comparison price, which may differ from odds accepted later. A high probability by itself does not establish better value.
The method converts reference bookmaker odds into estimated probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. These are market-derived estimates, not certainty about a match.
Compare probability with price.
Probability-v2 ranks eligible selections by their estimated probability and can include prices with negative estimated value. It is a market-derived probability ranking, not a proven profitable staking strategy. Kickmaxxing’s Choice is the first selection in that published ranking.
Keep the original record.
Published selections keep their publication odds. Outcomes and closing odds are recorded later so results, ROI and closing line value can be assessed together, with the sample size visible.
Separate a demo from a track record.
Pages marked as demo contain illustrative selections. They do not prove performance. Missing results remain unavailable; no historical return or match analysis is invented to fill a page.
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A public bankroll plays exactly the published picks, flat stake.
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No selection guarantees a win. Bets involve a risk of loss.
