Under 2.5 goals football predictions
Check published selections for totals below three, using the date shown on the page. Under 2.5 permits goals and a winning side; it describes a tally during a stated period, rather than a prediction of a goalless draw.
Reference odds supplied by 1xBet. The logo and link identify the bookmaker offered in your country; its odds may differ.
14 selectionsMatch times: America/New_York
Filter by displayed reference odds. Top picks keep their published order.
Top 3 selections
- Gold
Russia
First League
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Spartak KostromaPickUnder 2.5 goals62.2%Model estimate1.55Reference odds · check at bookmakerWhy this pick?
- Estimated probability: 62.2%, calculated from 1 reference markets with margin removed.
- Recorded odds: 1.55; estimated value: -3.6%.
- Odds observed: 2026-10-25 06:54 UTC.
- Selections are ranked by probability; this does not imply a positive return.
- Silver
Bulgaria
First League
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Slavia SofiaPickUnder 2.5 goals61.8%Model estimate1.51Reference odds · check at bookmakerWhy this pick?
- Estimated probability: 61.8%, calculated from 2 reference markets with margin removed.
- Recorded odds: 1.51; estimated value: -6.7%.
- Odds observed: 2026-10-25 06:54 UTC.
- Selections are ranked by probability; this does not imply a positive return.
- Bronze
Uruguay
Segunda División
Paysandu
ColónPickUnder 2.5 goals58.8%Model estimate1.55Reference odds · check at bookmakerWhy this pick?
- Estimated probability: 58.8%, calculated from 2 reference markets with margin removed.
- Recorded odds: 1.55; estimated value: -8.9%.
- Odds observed: 2026-10-25 06:55 UTC.
- Selections are ranked by probability; this does not imply a positive return.
| Match | Pick | Model probability | Odds | Selection actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 goals58.6%Model estimate | 58.6%Model estimate | 1.62 | ||
| Under 2.5 goals57.7%Model estimate | 57.7%Model estimate | 1.66 | ||
| Under 2.5 goals57%Model estimate | 57%Model estimate | 1.70 | ||
| Under 2.5 goals56.7%Model estimate | 56.7%Model estimate | 1.79 | ||
| Under 2.5 goals56.2%Model estimate | 56.2%Model estimate | 1.72 | ||
| Under 2.5 goals55.7%Model estimate | 55.7%Model estimate | 1.67 | ||
| Under 2.5 goals54.5%Model estimate | 54.5%Model estimate | 1.71 | ||
| Under 2.5 goals52.7%Model estimate | 52.7%Model estimate | 1.77 | ||
| Under 2.5 goals52.4%Model estimate | 52.4%Model estimate | 1.77 | ||
| Under 2.5 goals51.1%Model estimate | 51.1%Model estimate | 1.80 | ||
| Under 2.5 goals50.9%Model estimate | 50.9%Model estimate | 1.83 | ||
When does Under 2.5 win?
Under 2.5 requires no more than two goals in regular time, including stoppage time. 0–0, 1–0 and 1–1 qualify; 2–1 does not. Because the line is a half-goal, a completed match cannot land exactly on it.
How to read these picks
At 0-1 there is one goal, so Under 2.5 holds; at 0-3 there are three, so it fails. A 2-0 is another qualifying example and a 2-2 is not. Count both sides’ goals and stay within the period covered by the label. When comparing selections, retain the distinction between the published probability estimate and the reference price in the record.
Probability describes how likely an outcome is. Odds determine the payout. Compare both, then check the settled record below; a high hit rate alone does not prove a profitable method.
Methodology →Under 2.5: model results
Published probability-v2 selections in this market, at a flat reference stake of one unit.
Record temporarily unavailable.