Our picks. Their results.
Every published probability selection and its settled outcome, one unit each. Closing odds provide a separate price comparison.
Live Record
Every published probability selection since Sep 22, 2026, at a flat stake of one unit. Results settle the selections; closing odds measure the price comparison.
- Units
- -6.21 u 145 selections published
- Record
- 37W – 29L 66 settled selections
- Hit rate
- 56.1% Won selections among settled ones, voids excluded. Read it with the ROI: at short odds a high hit rate can still lose units.
- ROI
- -9.4% Avg. CLV +1.8%
Nothing is bet on your behalf. The record lists every published probability selection at the published odds, one unit each, wins and losses alike. Past results do not guarantee future ones.
Show the 66 settled picks
Closing odds come from an available snapshot within two hours before kickoff. A dash means no measurement is available.
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Closing odds | CLV | Result | Units | Units after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran U23 – Korea DPR U23Asian Games | Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 | 1.59 | 1.60 | -0.6% | Lost | -1.00 u | -6.21 u | |
| Iran U23 – Korea DPR U23Asian Games | Home win1X2 | 1.93 | 1.72 | +12.2% | Lost | -1.00 u | -5.21 u | |
| Santa Fe – Deportivo CaliPrimera A | Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 | 1.53 | 1.57 | -2.6% | Won | +0.53 u | -4.21 u | |
| Santa Fe – Deportivo CaliPrimera A | Both teams to score — NoBTTS — No | 1.71 | 1.75 | -2.3% | Won | +0.71 u | -4.74 u | |
| Santa Fe – Deportivo CaliPrimera A | Home win1X2 | 2.08 | 2.08 | 0% | Lost | -1.00 u | -5.45 u | |
| Independiente Medellin – JaguaresPrimera A | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.62 | 1.55 | +4.5% | Won | +0.62 u | -4.45 u | |
| Independiente Medellin – JaguaresPrimera A | Both teams to score — NoBTTS — No | 1.76 | 1.77 | -0.6% | Lost | -1.00 u | -5.07 u | |
| Real Santander – OrsomarsoPrimera B | Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 | 1.63 | 1.63 | 0% | Won | +0.63 u | -4.07 u | |
| Queen of the South – Annan AthleticChallenge Cup | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.61 | 1.61 | 0% | Lost | -1.00 u | -4.70 u | |
| Forfar Athletic – PeterheadChallenge Cup | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.60 | 1.57 | +1.9% | Lost | -1.00 u | -3.70 u | |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic – Airdrie UnitedChallenge Cup | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.51 | 1.51 | 0% | Won | +0.51 u | -2.70 u | |
| Edinburgh City – Dundee United IIChallenge Cup | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.60 | 1.63 | -1.8% | Lost | -1.00 u | -3.21 u | |
| Forfar Athletic – PeterheadChallenge Cup | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | +2.6% | Lost | -1.00 u | -2.21 u | |
| Queen of the South – Annan AthleticChallenge Cup | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.54 | 1.53 | +0.7% | Won | +0.54 u | -1.21 u | |
| East Kilbride – Celtic IIChallenge Cup | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.59 | 1.42 | +12% | Won | +0.59 u | -1.75 u | |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic – Airdrie UnitedChallenge Cup | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.51 | 1.50 | +0.7% | Won | +0.51 u | -2.34 u | |
| Fraserburgh – Cove RangersChallenge Cup | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.56 | 1.52 | +2.6% | Lost | -1.00 u | -2.85 u | |
| Berwick Rangers – StranraerChallenge Cup | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.50 | 1.46 | +2.7% | Won | +0.50 u | -1.85 u | |
| Clachnacuddin – Ross CountyChallenge Cup | Both teams to score — NoBTTS — No | 1.80 | 1.69 | +6.5% | Lost | -1.00 u | -2.35 u | |
| Banks O' Dee – Aberdeen U21Challenge Cup | Away win1X2 | 1.80 | 1.64 | +9.8% | Lost | -1.00 u | -1.35 u | |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic – Airdrie UnitedChallenge Cup | Away win1X2 | 1.76 | 1.81 | -2.8% | Won | +0.76 u | -0.35 u | |
| Forfar Athletic – PeterheadChallenge Cup | Away win1X2 | 1.75 | 1.85 | -5.4% | Won | +0.75 u | -1.11 u | |
| Formartine United – MontroseChallenge Cup | Away win1X2 | 1.57 | 1.70 | -7.7% | Lost | -1.00 u | -1.86 u | |
| Berwick Rangers – StranraerChallenge Cup | Away win1X2 | 1.50 | 1.59 | -5.7% | Lost | -1.00 u | -0.86 u | |
| Walsall – StevenageEFL Trophy | Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 | 1.69 | 1.72 | -1.7% | Lost | -1.00 u | +0.14 u | |
| Tranmere – ShrewsburyEFL Trophy | Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 | 1.68 | 1.72 | -2.3% | Won | +0.68 u | +1.14 u | |
| Oldham – Fleetwood TownEFL Trophy | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.71 | 1.62 | +5.6% | Lost | -1.00 u | +0.46 u | |
| Notts County – GrimsbyEFL Trophy | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.69 | 1.60 | +5.6% | Won | +0.69 u | +1.46 u | |
| Peterborough – ColchesterEFL Trophy | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.63 | 1.47 | +10.9% | Won | +0.63 u | +0.77 u | |
| Wigan – BlackpoolEFL Trophy | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.62 | 1.46 | +11% | Won | +0.62 u | +0.14 u | |
| Salford City – Sheffield WednesdayEFL Trophy | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.60 | 1.56 | +2.6% | Won | +0.60 u | -0.48 u | |
| Rijnvogels – VvsbKNVB Beker | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.52 | 1.46 | +4.1% | Lost | -1.00 u | -1.08 u | |
| Staphorst – SC GenemuidenKNVB Beker | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.56 | 1.56 | 0% | Won | +0.56 u | -0.08 u | |
| Barnsley – Leeds United U21EFL Trophy | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.54 | 1.55 | -0.7% | Won | +0.54 u | -0.64 u | |
| Oldham – Fleetwood TownEFL Trophy | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.56 | 1.53 | +2% | Lost | -1.00 u | -1.18 u | |
| Notts County – GrimsbyEFL Trophy | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.58 | 1.50 | +5.3% | Won | +0.58 u | -0.18 u | |
| ACV – HoogeveenKNVB Beker | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.60 | 1.53 | +4.6% | Won | +0.60 u | -0.76 u | |
| Salford City – Sheffield WednesdayEFL Trophy | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.50 | 1.48 | +1.4% | Won | +0.50 u | -1.36 u | |
| Plymouth – Crystal Palace U21EFL Trophy | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.53 | 1.52 | +0.7% | Won | +0.53 u | -1.86 u | |
| HHC – BarendrechtKNVB Beker | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.55 | 1.52 | +2% | Lost | -1.00 u | -2.39 u | |
| Peterborough – ColchesterEFL Trophy | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.55 | 1.46 | +6.2% | Won | +0.55 u | -1.39 u | |
| Wigan – BlackpoolEFL Trophy | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.51 | 1.41 | +7.1% | Won | +0.51 u | -1.94 u | |
| Staphorst – SC GenemuidenKNVB Beker | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.53 | 1.52 | +0.7% | Won | +0.53 u | -2.45 u | |
| Leicester – Fulham U21EFL Trophy | Both teams to scoreBTTS — Yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | +2% | Won | +0.53 u | -2.98 u | |
| Peterborough – ColchesterEFL Trophy | Home win1X2 | 1.93 | 1.86 | +3.8% | Won | +0.93 u | -3.51 u | |
| Staphorst – SC GenemuidenKNVB Beker | Away win1X2 | 1.78 | 1.86 | -4.3% | Won | +0.78 u | -4.44 u | |
| EVV – HalsterenKNVB Beker | Home win1X2 | 1.69 | 1.80 | -6.1% | Won | +0.69 u | -5.22 u | |
| Swindon Town – Newport CountyEFL Trophy | Home win1X2 | 1.73 | 1.74 | -0.6% | Lost | -1.00 u | -5.91 u | |
| Milton Keynes Dons – Crawley TownEFL Trophy | Home win1X2 | 1.65 | 1.31 | +26% | Won | +0.65 u | -4.91 u | |
| HHC – BarendrechtKNVB Beker | Home win1X2 | 1.56 | 1.54 | +1.3% | Lost | -1.00 u | -5.56 u | |
| Groene Ster – AFC AmsterdamKNVB Beker | Away win1X2 | 1.55 | 1.59 | -2.5% | Won | +0.55 u | -4.56 u | |
| Academico Viseu U23 – Estoril U23Liga Revelação U23 | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.58 | 1.57 | +0.6% | Lost | -1.00 u | -5.11 u | |
| Al Urooba – Dubai CityPresidents Cup | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.61 | 1.63 | -1.2% | Lost | -1.00 u | -4.11 u | |
| Santa Clara U23 – Portimonense U23Liga Revelação U23 | Home win1X2 | 1.60 | 1.67 | -4.2% | Lost | -1.00 u | -3.11 u | |
| Korea Republic U23 – Saudi Arabia U23Asian Games | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.67 | 1.69 | -1.2% | Lost | -1.00 u | -2.11 u | |
| Vietnam U23 – Uzbekistan U23Asian Games | Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 | 1.65 | 1.57 | +5.1% | Won | +0.65 u | -1.11 u | |
| Philippines U23 – Kuwait U23Asian Games | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.57 | 1.59 | -1.3% | Won | +0.57 u | -1.76 u | |
| Philippines U23 – Kuwait U23Asian Games | Away win1X2 | 1.59 | 1.50 | +6% | Lost | -1.00 u | -2.33 u | |
| Vietnam U23 – Uzbekistan U23Asian Games | Away win1X2 | 1.59 | 1.64 | -3.1% | Won | +0.59 u | -1.33 u | |
| Santos Laguna W – Cruz Azul WLiga MX Femenil | Away win1X2 | 1.79 | 1.78 | +0.6% | Lost | -1.00 u | -1.92 u | |
| Arnett Gardens – DunbeholdenPremier League | Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 | 1.63 | 1.53 | +6.5% | Won | +0.63 u | -0.92 u | |
| Real Cartagena – EnvigadoPrimera B | Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 | 1.68 | 1.71 | -1.8% | Won | +0.68 u | -1.55 u | |
| Cuiaba – Nautico RecifeSerie B | Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 | 1.59 | 1.58 | +0.6% | Lost | -1.00 u | -2.23 u | |
| Cuiaba – Nautico RecifeSerie B | Both teams to score — NoBTTS — No | 1.77 | 1.76 | +0.6% | Won | +0.77 u | -1.23 u | |
| Real Cartagena – EnvigadoPrimera B | Home win1X2 | 1.69 | 1.66 | +1.8% | Lost | -1.00 u | -2.00 u | |
| Lanus – Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina | Both teams to score — NoBTTS — No | 1.58 | 1.58 | 0% | Lost | -1.00 u | -1.00 u |
Archive — value selections, 11 to 21 September 2026
Before the probability selections, the site published one to three value selections a day against a reference bankroll. That record is kept here in full, unchanged.
Live Portfolio
A $10,000.00 reference bankroll records the published picks at a fixed stake of 1% of the starting bankroll. Results settle the picks; closing odds measure the price comparison.
- Bankroll
- $9,893.00 Since Sep 11, 2026
- Profit / loss
- -$107.00 -1.1%
- Record
- 9W – 14L 23 settled picks
- ROI
- -4.7% Avg. CLV +5.5%
Nothing is bet on your behalf. The portfolio is a public record of the method, at the published odds, with a flat stake. Past results do not guarantee future ones. This portfolio tracks value selections. Probability selections have a separate record.
Show the 23 settled picks
Closing odds come from an available snapshot within two hours before kickoff. A dash means no measurement is available.
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Closing odds | CLV | Result | Profit / loss | Bankroll after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Formartine United – MontroseChallenge Cup | Under 2.5 goalsValue selection | 2.88 | 2.35 | +22.6% | Lost | -$100.00 | $9,893.00 | |
| San Carlos – CS CartaginesPrimera División | DrawValue selection | 3.20 | 3.00 | +6.7% | Lost | -$100.00 | $9,993.00 | |
| Grosseto – PerugiaSerie C - Girone B | DrawValue selection | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0% | Lost | -$100.00 | $10,093.00 | |
| Las Palmas – BurgosSegunda División | DrawValue selection | 3.40 | 3.40 | 0% | Lost | -$100.00 | $10,193.00 | |
| Al Jabalain – Al OrubahDivision 1 | Over 2.5 goalsValue selection | 2.20 | 2.00 | +10% | Lost | -$100.00 | $10,293.00 | |
| Vojvodina – IMT Novi BeogradSuper Liga | Under 2.5 goalsValue selection | 2.25 | 2.25 | 0% | Won | +$125.00 | $10,393.00 | |
| Humenné – Inter Bratislava2. liga | Under 2.5 goalsValue selection | 2.25 | 2.05 | +9.8% | Won | +$125.00 | $10,268.00 | |
| Karlsruher SC – 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga | Under 2.5 goalsValue selection | 3.50 | 3.40 | +2.9% | Won | +$250.00 | $10,143.00 | |
| Jong AZ – FC VolendamEerste Divisie | Under 2.5 goalsValue selection | 3.40 | 3.10 | +9.7% | Lost | -$100.00 | $9,893.00 | |
| Muğlaspor – Iğdır FK1. Lig | DrawValue selection | 3.10 | 3.20 | -3.1% | Won | +$210.00 | $9,993.00 | |
| Ayutthaya FC – Uthai ThaniThai League 1 | DrawValue selection | 3.00 | 3.10 | -3.2% | Lost | -$100.00 | $9,783.00 | |
| Kitchee – Gangwon FCAFC Champions League Two | Under 2.5 goalsValue selection | 2.05 | 1.95 | +5.1% | Won | +$105.00 | $9,883.00 | |
| FC Seoul – Persib BandungAFC Champions League Two | Under 2.5 goalsValue selection | 2.35 | 2.00 | +17.5% | Won | +$135.00 | $9,778.00 | |
| Celta de Vigo II – EibarSegunda División | DrawValue selection | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0% | Lost | -$100.00 | $9,643.00 | |
| Inter Turku – VPSVeikkausliiga | Over 2.5 goalsValue selection | 1.95 | 2.00 | -2.5% | Lost | -$100.00 | $9,743.00 | |
| El Geish – Smouha SCPremier League | DrawValue selection | 2.62 | 2.60 | +0.8% | Lost | -$100.00 | $9,843.00 | |
| APIA Leichhardt Tigers – Sydney UnitedNew South Wales NPL | DrawValue selection | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0% | Lost | -$100.00 | $9,943.00 | |
| Seattle Reign FC W – Bay FC WNWSL Women | Over 2.5 goalsValue selection | 1.85 | 1.70 | +8.8% | Lost | -$100.00 | $10,043.00 | |
| Cukaricki – Novi PazarSuper Liga | Under 2.5 goalsValue selection | 2.38 | 1.95 | +22.1% | Won | +$138.00 | $10,143.00 | |
| Ebro – ReddisSegunda División RFEF - Group 2 | Under 2.5 goalsValue selection | 1.70 | 1.70 | 0% | Won | +$70.00 | $10,005.00 | |
| Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom – Žilina II2. liga | Over 2.5 goalsValue selection | 1.70 | 1.57 | +8.3% | Lost | -$100.00 | $9,935.00 | |
| Werder Bremen W – Hamburger SV WFrauen Bundesliga | Under 2.5 goalsValue selection | 2.35 | 2.35 | 0% | Won | +$135.00 | $10,035.00 | |
| Kolos Kovalivka – KarpatyPremier League | Over 2.5 goalsValue selection | 2.15 | 1.95 | +10.3% | Lost | -$100.00 | $9,900.00 |