Keep an estimate alongside the relevant price, since a changed quote can change the comparison. For an invented decimal quote of 4.00, the reciprocal calculation gives a raw implied 25% before margin adjustment, not a prediction of a real fixture. The engine adjusts margin using prices across the reference market to estimate chances; it does not subtract a figure from the decimal quote. The reference saved when published may differ from a price accepted afterwards. A greater estimated chance alone cannot show which selection offers the best value.
The method converts reference bookmaker odds into estimated probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. These are market-derived estimates, not certainty about a match.
Compare probability with price.
Probability-v2 ranks eligible selections by their estimated probability and can include prices with negative estimated value. It is a market-derived probability ranking, not a proven profitable staking strategy. Kickmaxxing’s Choice is the first selection in that published ranking.
Keep the original record.
Published selections keep their publication odds. Outcomes and closing odds are recorded later so results, ROI and closing line value can be assessed together, with the sample size visible.
Separate a demo from a track record.
Pages marked as demo contain illustrative selections. They do not prove performance. Missing results remain unavailable; no historical return or match analysis is invented to fill a page.
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A public bankroll plays exactly the published picks, flat stake.
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No selection guarantees a win. Bets involve a risk of loss.
