Under 2.5 for Samoa: counts no higher than two
The permitted counts for Under 2.5 are zero, one and two goals across the two teams in the specified period. That admits a 0-1 away win, a 2-0 home win and a 1-1 draw, among other distributions.
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20 selectionsMatch times: America/New_York
Filter by displayed reference odds. Top picks keep their published order.
Top 3 selections
- Gold
Portugal
Segunda Liga
Amarante
Felgueiras 1932PickUnder 2.5 goals61.9%Model estimateFTKick-off passed · reference oddsWhy this pick?
- Estimated probability: 61.8%, calculated from 2 reference markets with margin removed.
- Recorded odds: 1.53; estimated value: -5.4%.
- Odds observed: 2026-11-14 06:58 UTC.
- Selections are ranked by probability; this does not imply a positive return.
- Silver
Spain
Segunda División
Eldense
SabadellPickUnder 2.5 goals60.9%Model estimateFTKick-off passed · reference oddsWhy this pick?
- Estimated probability: 60.9%, calculated from 2 reference markets with margin removed.
- Recorded odds: 1.61; estimated value: -2.0%.
- Odds observed: 2026-11-14 06:55 UTC.
- Selections are ranked by probability; this does not imply a positive return.
- Bronze
Spain
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Deportiva Minera
PoblensePickUnder 2.5 goals59.5%Model estimateFTKick-off passed · reference oddsWhy this pick?
- Estimated probability: 59.5%, calculated from 2 reference markets with margin removed.
- Recorded odds: 1.59; estimated value: -5.4%.
- Odds observed: 2026-11-14 06:57 UTC.
- Selections are ranked by probability; this does not imply a positive return.
| Match | Pick | Model probability | Odds | Selection actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 goals59.4%Model estimate | 59.4%Model estimate | FTKick-off passed · reference odds | ||
| Under 2.5 goals59.2%Model estimate | 59.2%Model estimate | FTKick-off passed · reference odds | ||
| Under 2.5 goals59%Model estimate | 59%Model estimate | FTKick-off passed · reference odds | ||
| Under 2.5 goals59%Model estimate | 59%Model estimate | FTKick-off passed · reference odds | ||
| Under 2.5 goals58.2%Model estimate | 58.2%Model estimate | FTKick-off passed · reference odds | ||
| Under 2.5 goals57.8%Model estimate | 57.8%Model estimate | FTKick-off passed · reference odds | ||
| Under 2.5 goals57.2%Model estimate | 57.2%Model estimate | FTKick-off passed · reference odds | ||
| Under 2.5 goals56.9%Model estimate | 56.9%Model estimate | FTKick-off passed · reference odds | ||
| Under 2.5 goals56.8%Model estimate | 56.8%Model estimate | FTKick-off passed · reference odds | ||
| Under 2.5 goals56.4%Model estimate | 56.4%Model estimate | FTKick-off passed · reference odds | ||
| Under 2.5 goals56.2%Model estimate | 56.2%Model estimate | FTKick-off passed · reference odds | ||
| Under 2.5 goals56.1%Model estimate | 56.1%Model estimate | FTKick-off passed · reference odds | ||
| Under 2.5 goals55.5%Model estimate | 55.5%Model estimate | FTKick-off passed · reference odds | ||
| Under 2.5 goals55.5%Model estimate | 55.5%Model estimate | FTKick-off passed · reference odds | ||
| Under 2.5 goals55.4%Model estimate | 55.4%Model estimate | FTKick-off passed · reference odds | ||
| Under 2.5 goals55.4%Model estimate | 55.4%Model estimate | FTKick-off passed · reference odds | ||
| Under 2.5 goals55.1%Model estimate | 55.1%Model estimate | FTKick-off passed · reference odds | ||
When does Under 2.5 win?
Under 2.5 requires no more than two goals in regular time, including stoppage time. 0–0, 1–0 and 1–1 qualify; 2–1 does not. Because the line is a half-goal, a completed match cannot land exactly on it.
How to read these picks
The permitted counts for Under 2.5 are zero, one and two goals across the two teams in the specified period. That admits a 0-1 away win, a 2-0 home win and a 1-1 draw, among other distributions. Both teams score in the last example, so BTTS Yes is compatible with the under total. Once the score is 1-2, the sum reaches three and the condition is no longer met. The estimate of a low total cannot by itself establish which side wins or whether a side remains scoreless; those are separate requirements. The most likely estimated condition need not provide the best value at its relevant price.
Probability describes how likely an outcome is. Odds determine the payout. Compare both, then check the settled record below; a high hit rate alone does not prove a profitable method.
Methodology →Under 2.5: model results
Published probability-v2 selections in this market, at a flat reference stake of one unit.
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