A reference saved with the publication anchors the price comparison at that moment. It may differ from a price accepted later. In an arithmetic example unrelated to a real fixture, a decimal price of 5.00 has a reciprocal of 20% raw implied probability before margin adjustment. The engine adjusts margin from the market reference prices rather than subtracting it directly from the decimal number. Value depends on the estimate and price for the same condition together; the highest probability alone does not identify the best value.
The method converts reference bookmaker odds into estimated probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. These are market-derived estimates, not certainty about a match.
Compare probability with price.
Probability-v2 ranks eligible selections by their estimated probability and can include prices with negative estimated value. It is a market-derived probability ranking, not a proven profitable staking strategy. Kickmaxxing’s Choice is the first selection in that published ranking.
Keep the original record.
Published selections keep their publication odds. Outcomes and closing odds are recorded later so results, ROI and closing line value can be assessed together, with the sample size visible.
Separate a demo from a track record.
Pages marked as demo contain illustrative selections. They do not prove performance. Missing results remain unavailable; no historical return or match analysis is invented to fill a page.
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A public bankroll plays exactly the published picks, flat stake.
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No selection guarantees a win. Bets involve a risk of loss.
