An illustrative decimal price of 1.25 corresponds through its reciprocal to 80% raw implied probability before margin adjustment. There is no real match behind this example. The engine adjusts margin across market reference prices, not by subtracting it directly from the decimal figure. A reference recorded when the selection is published and a price accepted later are different observations. For a value judgement, examine the estimated probability with its matching condition and price; the largest probability alone cannot answer that question.
The method converts reference bookmaker odds into estimated probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. These are market-derived estimates, not certainty about a match.
Compare probability with price.
Probability-v2 ranks eligible selections by their estimated probability and can include prices with negative estimated value. It is a market-derived probability ranking, not a proven profitable staking strategy. Kickmaxxing’s Choice is the first selection in that published ranking.
Keep the original record.
Published selections keep their publication odds. Outcomes and closing odds are recorded later so results, ROI and closing line value can be assessed together, with the sample size visible.
Separate a demo from a track record.
Pages marked as demo contain illustrative selections. They do not prove performance. Missing results remain unavailable; no historical return or match analysis is invented to fill a page.
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A public bankroll plays exactly the published picks, flat stake.
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No selection guarantees a win. Bets involve a risk of loss.
