The stored reference belongs to the publication comparison, whereas an accepted price belongs to a later transaction and may differ. As arithmetic only, the reciprocal of a fictitious decimal price of 3.20 yields 31.25% raw implied probability before margin correction. The engine corrects margin using market reference prices rather than deducting it directly from the decimal quote. Match an estimated probability to the price for the same condition. The largest estimated chance, considered without that price, is insufficient to establish the best value.
The method converts reference bookmaker odds into estimated probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. These are market-derived estimates, not certainty about a match.
Compare probability with price.
Probability-v2 ranks eligible selections by their estimated probability and can include prices with negative estimated value. It is a market-derived probability ranking, not a proven profitable staking strategy. Kickmaxxing’s Choice is the first selection in that published ranking.
Keep the original record.
Published selections keep their publication odds. Outcomes and closing odds are recorded later so results, ROI and closing line value can be assessed together, with the sample size visible.
Separate a demo from a track record.
Pages marked as demo contain illustrative selections. They do not prove performance. Missing results remain unavailable; no historical return or match analysis is invented to fill a page.
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A public bankroll plays exactly the published picks, flat stake.
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No selection guarantees a win. Bets involve a risk of loss.
