Consider an invented decimal price of 1.60, whose reciprocal is 62.5% raw implied probability before margin correction. The example concerns arithmetic rather than a real fixture. The engine adjusts probabilities for margin through the market reference prices; it does not take a margin amount directly off the decimal price. A reference saved at publication is distinct from a price accepted afterwards. For a value comparison, use the estimate and relevant price together, since the largest estimated chance alone cannot establish the best value.
The method converts reference bookmaker odds into estimated probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. These are market-derived estimates, not certainty about a match.
Compare probability with price.
Probability-v2 ranks eligible selections by their estimated probability and can include prices with negative estimated value. It is a market-derived probability ranking, not a proven profitable staking strategy. Kickmaxxing’s Choice is the first selection in that published ranking.
Keep the original record.
Published selections keep their publication odds. Outcomes and closing odds are recorded later so results, ROI and closing line value can be assessed together, with the sample size visible.
Separate a demo from a track record.
Pages marked as demo contain illustrative selections. They do not prove performance. Missing results remain unavailable; no historical return or match analysis is invented to fill a page.
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A public bankroll plays exactly the published picks, flat stake.
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No selection guarantees a win. Bets involve a risk of loss.
