A recorded reference price gives a comparison point tied to the publication. A later accepted price may be different. For arithmetic only, the reciprocal of a fictitious decimal price of 2.00 is a raw implied probability of 50% before margin adjustment. The engine adjusts margin using the market reference prices, not by subtracting margin directly from the decimal number. Relate an estimated probability to the price for that same condition. A higher probability by itself does not identify better value.
The method converts reference bookmaker odds into estimated probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. These are market-derived estimates, not certainty about a match.
Compare probability with price.
Probability-v2 ranks eligible selections by their estimated probability and can include prices with negative estimated value. It is a market-derived probability ranking, not a proven profitable staking strategy. Kickmaxxing’s Choice is the first selection in that published ranking.
Keep the original record.
Published selections keep their publication odds. Outcomes and closing odds are recorded later so results, ROI and closing line value can be assessed together, with the sample size visible.
Separate a demo from a track record.
Pages marked as demo contain illustrative selections. They do not prove performance. Missing results remain unavailable; no historical return or match analysis is invented to fill a page.
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A public bankroll plays exactly the published picks, flat stake.
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No selection guarantees a win. Bets involve a risk of loss.
