An invented decimal quote of 2.00 produces a raw implied 50% when inverted. This is an arithmetic illustration before margin adjustment, not an estimate for any upcoming fixture. The engine estimates probabilities by adjusting margin across the prices of the reference market; it does not subtract a value directly from decimal odds. A value comparison needs the estimate and its relevant price together. Distinguish the reference recorded at publication from a later accepted quote, since the largest estimated chance alone cannot establish which selection has better value.
The method converts reference bookmaker odds into estimated probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. These are market-derived estimates, not certainty about a match.
Compare probability with price.
Probability-v2 ranks eligible selections by their estimated probability and can include prices with negative estimated value. It is a market-derived probability ranking, not a proven profitable staking strategy. Kickmaxxing’s Choice is the first selection in that published ranking.
Keep the original record.
Published selections keep their publication odds. Outcomes and closing odds are recorded later so results, ROI and closing line value can be assessed together, with the sample size visible.
Separate a demo from a track record.
Pages marked as demo contain illustrative selections. They do not prove performance. Missing results remain unavailable; no historical return or match analysis is invented to fill a page.
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A public bankroll plays exactly the published picks, flat stake.
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No selection guarantees a win. Bets involve a risk of loss.
