The price stored with a publication fixes the reference for its comparison; a price accepted later may be different. For a purely invented calculation, decimal odds of 1.25 have a raw reciprocal chance of 80% before margin adjustment. This says nothing about a real match. The engine adjusts margin using reference prices across the market to estimate probabilities, instead of deducting a number from the decimal quote. Judge value by relating the chance estimate to the relevant price: the highest estimated chance alone is insufficient to establish the best value.
The method converts reference bookmaker odds into estimated probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. These are market-derived estimates, not certainty about a match.
Compare probability with price.
Probability-v2 ranks eligible selections by their estimated probability and can include prices with negative estimated value. It is a market-derived probability ranking, not a proven profitable staking strategy. Kickmaxxing’s Choice is the first selection in that published ranking.
Keep the original record.
Published selections keep their publication odds. Outcomes and closing odds are recorded later so results, ROI and closing line value can be assessed together, with the sample size visible.
Separate a demo from a track record.
Pages marked as demo contain illustrative selections. They do not prove performance. Missing results remain unavailable; no historical return or match analysis is invented to fill a page.
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A public bankroll plays exactly the published picks, flat stake.
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No selection guarantees a win. Bets involve a risk of loss.
