A made-up decimal price of 4.00 gives a raw implied probability of 25% through its reciprocal, before margin adjustment. This is an arithmetic example, not a forecast for a real match. The engine adjusts margin using market reference prices rather than subtracting it directly from the decimal price. A reference recorded with a publication and a price accepted later are different observations. Compare the estimated probability with the relevant condition and price together: the largest probability alone does not establish the strongest value.
The method converts reference bookmaker odds into estimated probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. These are market-derived estimates, not certainty about a match.
Compare probability with price.
Probability-v2 ranks eligible selections by their estimated probability and can include prices with negative estimated value. It is a market-derived probability ranking, not a proven profitable staking strategy. Kickmaxxing’s Choice is the first selection in that published ranking.
Keep the original record.
Published selections keep their publication odds. Outcomes and closing odds are recorded later so results, ROI and closing line value can be assessed together, with the sample size visible.
Separate a demo from a track record.
Pages marked as demo contain illustrative selections. They do not prove performance. Missing results remain unavailable; no historical return or match analysis is invented to fill a page.
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A public bankroll plays exactly the published picks, flat stake.
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No selection guarantees a win. Bets involve a risk of loss.
