Comparing two percentages without their prices misses part of the value question. For a calculation example, decimal odds of 3.20 yield a raw 31.25% by taking the reciprocal; that figure is before margin adjustment and does not predict an actual fixture. The engine estimates chances by adjusting margin across the reference market, not by deducting a figure from the decimal price. Keep the stored reference separate from a later accepted price. The most likely estimated outcome need not be the most attractive chance-to-price comparison.
The method converts reference bookmaker odds into estimated probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. These are market-derived estimates, not certainty about a match.
Compare probability with price.
Probability-v2 ranks eligible selections by their estimated probability and can include prices with negative estimated value. It is a market-derived probability ranking, not a proven profitable staking strategy. Kickmaxxing’s Choice is the first selection in that published ranking.
Keep the original record.
Published selections keep their publication odds. Outcomes and closing odds are recorded later so results, ROI and closing line value can be assessed together, with the sample size visible.
Separate a demo from a track record.
Pages marked as demo contain illustrative selections. They do not prove performance. Missing results remain unavailable; no historical return or match analysis is invented to fill a page.
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A public bankroll plays exactly the published picks, flat stake.
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No selection guarantees a win. Bets involve a risk of loss.
