An illustrative decimal price of 2.50 gives a raw implied probability of 40% through 1 / 2.50. That arithmetic precedes margin adjustment and does not forecast a real fixture. The engine estimates chances by adjusting margin across reference market prices, not by subtracting a figure from the decimal price. Value requires relating the estimate to the relevant price. Separate the stored reference from any later accepted price, since a larger estimated chance alone cannot establish which comparison offers better value.
The method converts reference bookmaker odds into estimated probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. These are market-derived estimates, not certainty about a match.
Compare probability with price.
Probability-v2 ranks eligible selections by their estimated probability and can include prices with negative estimated value. It is a market-derived probability ranking, not a proven profitable staking strategy. Kickmaxxing’s Choice is the first selection in that published ranking.
Keep the original record.
Published selections keep their publication odds. Outcomes and closing odds are recorded later so results, ROI and closing line value can be assessed together, with the sample size visible.
Separate a demo from a track record.
Pages marked as demo contain illustrative selections. They do not prove performance. Missing results remain unavailable; no historical return or match analysis is invented to fill a page.
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A public bankroll plays exactly the published picks, flat stake.
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No selection guarantees a win. Bets involve a risk of loss.
