Learn to compare a soccer prediction with the exact market on your slip. We explain three-way results, goal totals and BTTS, then connect decimal odds to implied probability. Our examples describe market conditions; the linked tables contain the selections and results actually published.
Soccer predictions today and tomorrow: match the date
Choose Today or Tomorrow before comparing selections. Football and soccer describe the same sport here, but a page headed today can use a different time zone elsewhere. Keep the fixture date, both teams and market together, and use the displayed kickoff time rather than assuming a Canadian time zone. An unavailable table is not a list of zero selections; an empty loaded table means none is published for that market and date. Return to those same details to inspect the result.
A three-way soccer result includes the draw: 1 is the home team, X the draw and 2 the away team. A two-way moneyline can use different conditions for a tied match or a different settlement period. The names of the teams alone do not make the markets equivalent. Check the draw option and period before comparing our estimate with another price. Our 1X2 results relate to the published three-way selection, not to a different moneyline or a team-to-qualify market.
The 2.5 line is a threshold for goals, not decimal odds of 2.50. Over requires at least three goals between the teams in the indicated period. A 2–1 and a 3–0 both meet it, although their BTTS outcomes differ. A team total counts only one team and is another market. Check that the line and period match before comparing probabilities. The Over page lets you read the published quote and examine results for that same match-total condition.
Under 2.5 includes zero, one or two total goals. A 1–1 qualifies just as a 2–0 does, so choosing Under does not select a winner or rule out a draw. A line of 2.0 can have a different treatment at exactly two goals; it cannot replace 2.5 in a comparison. Read the full market label, then examine the probability estimate, recorded decimal price and size of the settled Under sample together.
Both teams to score: Yes and No have separate records
BTTS Yes requires each team to score at least once; No includes a 0–0 as well as a score with one side on zero. It asks a different question from the winner or the total number of goals. A 3–0 meets Over 2.5 but BTTS No. A slip combining a winner with BTTS has extra conditions. Compare the price and result for the particular Yes or No selection, using the corresponding published record rather than merging both sides.
We display recorded decimal odds. As an illustration, 2.00 corresponds to a raw implied probability of 50%, before accounting for the margin across the market. American or fractional notation is a different display of a price, not a different probability model. Convert the format before comparing like with like. Our engine adjusts reference market odds for margin; it does not reserve the publication price for you. If you keep a CAD record, use the amount and price actually accepted, not the site reference unit.
Both teams to score means each team must score at least one goal in the specified period. The match winner does not matter.
A likely outcome. A good price?
Probability and price answer different questions. A likely outcome can still be poorly priced. Estimated value compares the price with a reference probability; it is not a promise of profit.
Over 2.5: count the goals.
Over 2.5 requires at least three goals in total in the specified period. Two goals or fewer is Under 2.5. Check the market period and bookmaker settlement rules.
A worked example: probability and price
Illustration only: a 60% estimate implies fair decimal odds of about 1.67. At 1.50 the price is below that estimate’s break-even point; at 1.80 it is above it. The estimate can be wrong. Neither price makes a win certain, and the available price can change after publication.
Read the record, not just the hit rate
A method can win more bets than it loses and still lose money at short odds. Read ROI alongside settled sample size and maximum drawdown. Results use a flat one-unit reference stake, not a recommendation to bet every selection. Markets on the same match are correlated.
Before following a selection
Confirm the teams, market, period and current odds on the bookmaker’s site. A published quote is a snapshot, not a reserved price. Decide your limit before you play; do not increase it to chase a loss. You can always skip a selection.
See how reference odds, probability and value shape a selection. Results stay accessible, whatever the outcome.
