Methodology

The largest estimated percentage leaves a value question unanswered until a price is included. The engine estimates probabilities from reference market prices with margin adjusted across the market. A decimal price of 2.00 illustrates raw 50%, calculated as 1 divided by 2.00 before that adjustment and without a forecast attached. Margin is not subtracted from the decimal price itself. Use the recorded reference in its historical role and distinguish a later accepted price, since a change in that price can change the comparison with the estimate.

Results by market

Start with a reference market.

The method converts reference bookmaker odds into estimated probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. These are market-derived estimates, not certainty about a match.

Compare probability with price.

Probability-v2 ranks eligible selections by their estimated probability and can include prices with negative estimated value. It is a market-derived probability ranking, not a proven profitable staking strategy. Kickmaxxing’s Choice is the first selection in that published ranking.

Keep the original record.

Published selections keep their publication odds. Outcomes and closing odds are recorded later so results, ROI and closing line value can be assessed together, with the sample size visible.

Separate a demo from a track record.

Pages marked as demo contain illustrative selections. They do not prove performance. Missing results remain unavailable; no historical return or match analysis is invented to fill a page.

Live Portfolio · Telegram

A public bankroll plays exactly the published picks, flat stake.

Portfolio temporarily unavailable.

No selection guarantees a win. Bets involve a risk of loss.

Browse selections