To explain raw implied probability, start with the operation 1 / price. At a decimal price of 2.00, it returns 0.50, or 50%, before margin adjustment and without predicting a real match. The engine adjusts margin across reference prices for the market to estimate probabilities, rather than subtracting margin from the decimal price. An estimated chance must be compared with a price to assess value. Keep the recorded reference distinct from a later offered or accepted price; a higher percentage alone cannot settle that comparison.
The method converts reference bookmaker odds into estimated probabilities, with the bookmaker margin removed. These are market-derived estimates, not certainty about a match.
Compare probability with price.
Probability-v2 ranks eligible selections by their estimated probability and can include prices with negative estimated value. It is a market-derived probability ranking, not a proven profitable staking strategy. Kickmaxxing’s Choice is the first selection in that published ranking.
Keep the original record.
Published selections keep their publication odds. Outcomes and closing odds are recorded later so results, ROI and closing line value can be assessed together, with the sample size visible.
Separate a demo from a track record.
Pages marked as demo contain illustrative selections. They do not prove performance. Missing results remain unavailable; no historical return or match analysis is invented to fill a page.
Live Portfolio · Telegram
A public bankroll plays exactly the published picks, flat stake.
Portfolio temporarily unavailable.
No selection guarantees a win. Bets involve a risk of loss.
